Okay, I’m getting tired of this propaganda that Turtle Rock Studios PR team is putting out there that the game is balanced. We’ve all experienced this. We’ve experienced that, despite the top game of all four classes, more than half the time, we’re still getting our arse handed to us. I wanted to bring a quantitative view to this, so I decided to do a little research:
One thing I noticed is that the averages for Hunters at the highest skill levels were generally a cool 0.8 to 4.6. Something I expect out of a standard game…then, I decided to look up the Monsters:
I saw this. The monster’s Win/Loss Ratios STARTED at 3.8 and only went up from there. Heck, they have a Win/Loss Ratio at the top of 10-15x the Top 15 of the Hunter lists. I wondered, "How could they say that the monster won half the time, when the monster, at the higher skill levels, clearly wins 60-90% of the time?
I have a hypothesis, and hear me out from this: Incorporating outliers into data. See, in statistics, you usually eliminate outliers because its called erroneous data. They wildly upset your curves, and they are generally not necessary. Outliers, in this case, are first-timers. So, I’m thinking, the reason why Turtle Rock has been able to come up with these numbers is because the players that have not played before are dragging down the percentages. See, at lower skill levels, the monster wins a lot lower percentage of the time. That is because precise timing is needed for things to be pulled off correctly, and the right strategies are needed to truly make a monster effective. However, at higher skill levels, where the player skill is equal, it shows how often the monster can just wipe the floor with the hunters.
Propaganda like this has to stop. Its hurting this game. Stop giving us “Oh, its perfectly balanced.” When we can CLEARLY see the correct numbers right in front of us that the game is truly not balanced. If you want the game to become more than just a joke, more than just a AAA sinkhole, Turtle Rock Studios, you need to get off your ass, and go back to the drawing board, because, honestly, right now, you’re failing your customers. You’re dooming yourself to become another Destiny: novel idea for a month, then everyone forgets you exist.